agree that the u=joint would easy to see..how about the shaft going in to the bumper and out to hub...is there a spline in there that could be stripped, catching just enough to try to move?
There is a ujoint under that cover and out from that, towards the tire is a splined shaft. It fits into the splined hub.and then there are threads for the castle nut at the end of it. This is the nut that folks are concerned about and that needs to be tightened correctly and have a cotter pin through the castle of the nut. This will hold the nut and keep it from coming loose . ( there is a hole in the end of the shaft for the cotter pin to fit thru). You can see some pictures of these shafts in the most recent posts of mine in the ujoints needed again thread here.http://www.nettractortalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13788&highlight=ujoints+needed
I will also mention there is also a threaded shaft on what we call the inner ujoint. It goes into the transmission and is hidden from view behind that plate with 3 bolts there on the side of the transmission.
Did you buy this machine new? or used? If the right fluids were used since new, I would be surprised if the inner plates were worn out in the transmission with that few hours. I will not use anything but Sudt2 in mine, and I am a huge cheapscate (wear socks out etc)..The sudt2 has antifoaming additives and I won't complain about the price. Did you notice any metal on the magnetic plug when you changed the fluid? about 2 1/2 gallons to fill it up.
I am going to send you a pm . bordercollie